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<item>
<title><![CDATA[Bitcoin Bleeds $4.5B in ETF Outflows, Citi Slashes Target: Is the Bottom In or Is More Pain Ahead?]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitcoin-bleeds-45b-in-etf-outflows-citi-slashes-target-is-the-bottom-in-or-is-more-pain-ahead</link>
<guid>bitcoin-bleeds-45b-in-etf-outflows-citi-slashes-target-is-the-bottom-in-or-is-more-pain-ahead</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 07:01:13 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[**Bitcoin** suffered its worst month in two years, plunging 20.48% in June 2026 as US spot ETFs saw record outflows. The price hit a 21-month low of $58,190 on July 1, and Citigroup slashed its 12-month target to $82,000 from $112,000. Meanwhile, leveraged futures open interest dropped by $9.7 billion, and Strategy sold a small amount of BTC for the first time since 2022. The market now awaits the Fed's July 28-29 meeting for direction.
## June's Tough Turn: ETFs Flip from Tailwind to Headwind
June 2026 ended up being Bitcoin's roughest month since June 2022, with the price down 20.48%. The defining data point was the institutional plumbing: **$4.5 billion in net outflows** from US spot Bitcoin ETFs. That drain mattered because these funds had been the market's cleanest bridge between crypto and traditional brokerage accounts since they launched in January 2024. Bitcoin's slide didn't stop at month-end, either. On July 1, it touched a 21-month low of $58,190, after starting 2026 above $93,000, leaving it down more than 33% for the year.
## Wall Street Cools on Expectations
With flows going the wrong way, Citigroup moved quickly to reset forecasts. In a July 1 research note, the bank cut its 12-month Bitcoin target to $82,000 from $112,000, after already lowering it from $143,000 on March 17, 2026. "ETF flows, an important driver of prices, have turned negative recently," Citi wrote. Citi also cut its 12-month Ether target to $2,240 from $3,175, and it now expects net Bitcoin ETF inflows over the next 12 months to be flat, down from a prior $10 billion call. Its bear case, built on a recession plus continued ETF outflows, pegs Bitcoin at $53,000 over the next year.
## Strategy Sells a Little, and Says It Could Sell More
Then came a smaller headline that still landed with a thud: **Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold 32 bitcoin for about $2.5 million** between May 26 and May 31, at an average price of $77,135. It was the company's first bitcoin sale since December 2022, and the proceeds funded distributions on its STRC perpetual preferred shares. As of May 31, Strategy held 843,706 BTC, more than 4% of Bitcoin's 21 million-coin supply, with a cost basis of $75,699 per coin. Its board also approved a framework that could allow up to $1.25 billion in bitcoin sales for reserves, dividends, interest payments, or buybacks. Citi argued the new plan "strengthens liquidity and should provide more time for the company to stabilize."
## Leverage Unwinds, Whales Buy, and the Fed Looms
Under the surface, the downturn forced speculation out of the system. **Leveraged Bitcoin futures open interest fell** from about $31.3 billion around May 30 to roughly $21.6 billion by early June, a classic leverage flush. Over a two-week stretch, major holders added more than 270,000 BTC, a sign that longer-term buyers showed up as the market weakened. Whether that marks a durable low or just a pause now rhymes with macro. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh held rates steady on June 17 and took expected cuts off the table, a hawkish shift traders tied to crypto's selloff. Markets were pricing roughly a 70% chance the Fed holds again at its July 28-29 meeting, a date that could decide whether this bounce has legs.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>etfoutflows</category>
<category>cititarget</category>
<category>strategy</category>
<category>leverageflush</category>
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</item>
<item>
<title><![CDATA[Bitcoin Nears $65K, But Two Investor Groups Are Selling Into the Rally – Here's Why]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitcoin-nears-65k-but-two-investor-groups-are-selling-into-the-rally-heres-why</link>
<guid>bitcoin-nears-65k-but-two-investor-groups-are-selling-into-the-rally-heres-why</guid>
<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2026 14:01:14 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[Bitcoin surged toward **$65,000** after softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data, but on-chain signals reveal two key investor groups are selling into the bounce, potentially capping further upside.
## Long-Term Holders Capitulating
**Long-term holders** (wallets holding BTC for at least 5 months) who bought near last year's highs are using the relief rally to **sell at a loss** rather than hold through deeper drawdowns. This behavior signals a **lack of confidence** in the sustainability of the price rise.
## Short-Term Holders Taking Profits
**Short-term holders** who accumulated near recent lows are now realizing profits at a pace exceeding **$4 million per day**, reminiscent of May's selling wave when BTC briefly hit its 200-day average above $82,000.
## Simultaneous Selling Creates Overhead Supply
The result: both groups selling simultaneously is likely creating **overhead supply** exactly as the market tries to break higher. Analysts note that "conviction remains shaky" among those still underwater from earlier in the cycle.
> "As price rallies toward $66k, LTH realized loss volume is spiking! Cycle-top buyers are using the relief rally as an exit opportunity, locking in losses at a smaller margin than the sub-60k lows allowed."
## Inflation Data: A Double-Edged Sword
BTC jumped from $61,500 to nearly $65,000 after June's **CPI came in at 3.5% YoY** (below the 3.8% consensus) and **PPI also missed expectations**. This eased fears of Fed rate hikes, sending the dollar index lower and Treasury yields down.
However, some analysts warn the data may be **obsolete**. The 3.5% CPI was driven by a 10% drop in gasoline through June, but oil prices have since rebounded to one-month highs amid escalating geopolitical tensions.
> "Markets are rallying on a June photograph, while July develops differently, and the July print will be the first to carry the war premium." – Ryan Lee, Bitget
## Caution Amid Geopolitical Risks
Wintermute OTC trader Jasper De Maere also urged caution, noting that while the inflation data is constructive, the backdrop remains uncertain with **U.S. strikes on Iran** continuing and the **Fear & Greed Index** only moving from 22 to 25 (still Extreme Fear).
"One soft CPI print against an active military escalation is not the same as a durable regime shift in risk appetite."]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>on-chainanalysis</category>
<category>marketsentiment</category>
<category>inflation</category>
<category>profittaking</category>
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<title><![CDATA[50 Days of Discount: Why Americans Are Paying Less for Bitcoin Than the World]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/50-days-of-discount-why-americans-are-paying-less-for-bitcoin-than-the-world</link>
<guid>50-days-of-discount-why-americans-are-paying-less-for-bitcoin-than-the-world</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:01:13 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[For **50 straight days** through July 7-8, 2026, Bitcoin has traded at a **record discount on Coinbase** compared to Binance, signaling weaker demand from U.S. investors. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index hit -0.0742%, the longest negative streak ever recorded.
### Key Takeaways
- Coinbase logged a **record 50-day BTC discount** to Binance.
- U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw **~$6B in net outflows** year-to-date.
- Sustained inflows into **BlackRock's IBIT** remain the key signal to watch.
### A Record-Breaking Coinbase Premium Streak
Since May 19, 2026, Bitcoin has been cheaper on Coinbase than on Binance for 50 consecutive days, surpassing the previous record of 40 days. This persistent gap highlights a **divergence in demand** between U.S. and international markets.
### What a Negative Premium Says About US Demand
The negative premium suggests **U.S. demand is weaker** than global demand. Even as Bitcoin attempted a six-day winning streak, reaching $63,481.62, the discount on Coinbase persisted.
### ETFs Are Echoing the Same Signal
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced **$6 billion in net withdrawals** year-to-date, with a particularly harsh stretch in late June losing over $2.6 billion in just 9 trading days. However, Bitcoin and Ether ETFs recently snapped an eight-week outflow streak with a **$282 million combined inflow**.
### The Institutional Tell Investors Keep Coming Back To
ETF flows remain the scoreboard for institutional sentiment. Analysts emphasize the need for **sustained inflows into BlackRock’s IBIT** to support a sturdier recovery in U.S. participation. Until then, the Coinbase discount badge is likely to stay.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>coinbase</category>
<category>binance</category>
<category>etfoutflows</category>
<category>marketsentiment</category>
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<item>
<title><![CDATA[JPMorgan Warns Hyperliquid Deal Could Crush Circle and Coinbase Profits]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/jpmorgan-warns-hyperliquid-deal-could-crush-circle-and-coinbase-profits</link>
<guid>jpmorgan-warns-hyperliquid-deal-could-crush-circle-and-coinbase-profits</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 20:01:14 GMT</pubDate>
<description><*]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>jpmorgan</category>
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<category>hyperliquid</category>
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<title><![CDATA[Saylor Skips Bitcoin Again: $467M Raised, No BTC Buy for Third Week]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/saylor-skips-bitcoin-again-467m-raised-no-btc-buy-for-third-week</link>
<guid>saylor-skips-bitcoin-again-467m-raised-no-btc-buy-for-third-week</guid>
<pubDate>Tue, 14 Jul 2026 14:01:34 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[**Morning Minute** is a daily newsletter written by Tyler Warner. The analysis and opinions expressed are his own.
**GM!**
Today’s top news:
- Crypto majors are mixed ahead CPI; BTC at $62.7k
- Saylor sells $467M in MSTR, doesn’t buy BTC
- ETFs flip to outflows as BTC ETFs see $425M exodus
- BTC and ETH social media posts fall to 6-year lows
- Jupiter announces new gacha platform powered by Collector Crypt (CARDS +20%)
## 🟠 Strategy Raises $467M and Skips Bitcoin for a Third Straight Week
**Strategy’s Bitcoin-buying machine stayed in neutral** last week. The company raised $467M by issuing common stock and put all of it toward cash, lifting its USD Reserve to a record $3B. That means **no Bitcoin purchase for the third week running**.
The raise added roughly 18% to Strategy’s cash reserves in one move, giving the company more than 20 months of coverage on its $1.76B in annual dividend and interest obligations. So the entirety of the week’s capital markets activity went toward fortifying the balance sheet’s cash cushion. Since its last Bitcoin purchase on June 22, Strategy has generated about $215M from selling Bitcoin, less than half of what this single stock issuance brought in. So **the stock sales are now doing more work than the Bitcoin sales**.
Once again, Saylor is issuing common shares to fund dividend payments on his preferred stock. **MSTR holders are being diluted to pay STRC holders**. MSTR fell 4% Monday to around $90.80, down 18% on the month, though it has steadied since hitting a 28-month low of $81.81 in late June. STRC sits at $87.04, still below its $100 par value where it has lingered since mid-May while paying a 12% dividend. And with Bitcoin at $62,600 against an average cost of $75,476, **the 843,775-coin stack is roughly $11B underwater**.
The biggest open question right now is—**why isn’t he buying Bitcoin at these prices?** Raising cash to alleviate market concerns and to fund future debt payments made sense when he was mostly depleted, but now Saylor is flush. He’s got 20 months' runway, and more importantly, he’s proven he can just dump MSTR shares whenever to raise cash. So why not buy BTC here 50% off ATH? Certainly any BTC buy in the low 60s makes more sense than buys in the 80s, 90s, or over 100k. So why aren’t they coming? And when will the next buys hit the tape? Hopefully we find out soon. **Or Saylor will have some explaining to do…**
## 🏛️ Democratic Opposition to the CLARITY Act Grows With Four Weeks Left
Senate Democrats are hardening against the CLARITY Act, and Trump’s $1.2 billion crypto fortune is (unsurprisingly) the wedge.
Elizabeth Warren wrote to Senate leadership on Monday, demanding the bill bar the president, vice president, senior officials, members of Congress, and their families from profiting off the crypto industry. Anything less would be a giveaway to the president and his family at the public’s expense, in her words. On Tuesday, more Senate Democrats including Chris Murphy and Chris Van Hollen are expected to hold a press conference against it, hitting both Trump’s crypto dealings and the argument that the bill weakens financial oversight built after the Great Depression.
The vote math is the tricky part here. **CLARITY needs 60 votes**, which means at least seven Democrats have to cross over, and possibly more given the Republican bench is thinner than expected (Mitch McConnell remains hospitalized, and Lindsey Graham died suddenly over the weekend). Trump argued Monday that the Senate should pass CLARITY in Graham’s honor, calling him a big supporter of crypto legislation. Graham was never involved in the negotiations, rarely spoke on the topic, and was the only Senate Republican to co-sponsor a 2023 anti-money-laundering bill that crypto groups called deeply hostile to the industry.
So where does this leave us? Less than four weeks remain before the August recess, and everyone involved agrees that missing it means the bill dies in the noise of the November midterms. The industry’s own forecasters have already marked it down, with Galaxy cutting its odds to 50% and prediction markets pricing it in the low 40s. **The core problem is that the harder Democrats push for ethics language, the more they force Republicans to choose between passing the bill and protecting the president’s business interests.** That’s a bad trade to have to make with a hard deadline bearing down.
## 🌎 Macro Crypto and Markets
- **Crypto majors are mixed ahead of CPI;** BTC even at $62.7k; ETH +1% at $1,795; SOL -1% at $75; HYPE -2% at $64
- **HASH (+11%)**, INJ (+5%) and ENA (+5%) led top movers
- **Oil** +10% at $81; Gold -1% at $4,020
- **Stock futures** are mixed as oil spikes and June CPI data comes this AM; DOW -0.7%, Nasdaq +0.3%
- **June CEX volumes** fell 5% from May, while derivatives trading rose by 4%
- **BTC and ETH** social media posts have fallen to their lowest level since 2020
- **Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong admitted Base "messed up" on content coins**, saying they didn't work and that Base pivoted away early this year, with resources now going toward trading, payments, and AI agents
- **BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, and JPMorgan joined a 54-firm UK tokenization taskforce** backed by the government, starting with tokenized repo, with a Treasury report projecting up to £33 billion in annual economic output by 2035
- **TeraWulf’s CEO said “not all megawatts are created equally”** in the AI race, stating flatly that “we’re not involved in Bitcoin” anymore as its $19 billion Anthropic hosting deal completes its shift from miner to AI infrastructure company
- **SBI Holdings’ blockchain initiative** pivoted to Solana for tokenization and stablecoin issuance, moving off R3’s Corda and bringing the Solana Foundation into its joint venture, with plans including payment infrastructure for AI agents
### Corporate Treasuries & ETFs
- **The Bitcoin ETFs** saw $425M in net outflows on Monday, turning July negative; the ETH ETFs saw $15M in outflows
- **Strategy** raised $467M in a share sale and skipped a Bitcoin buy for a third straight week, lifting its cash reserve to a record $3B
- **Tom Lee’s BitMine** raised its Ethereum holdings to 5.77M ETH, about 4.8% of circulating supply, with nearly 5M of those staked.
### Meme Coin Tracker
- **Meme leaders were mostly red down 1-2%;** DOGE even, SHIB -2%, PEPE -1%, PENGU -4%, TRUMP -1%, BONK -2%
- **Robinhood chain memes were led by** Cashcat +8% to $180M, WOOD +70% to $15M, Wishbone +45% to $9M
- **Febu (+60%), three (+100%)** and Cards +20% were notable Solana movers
## 📈 Myriad Market of the Day
## 💰 Token, Airdrop & Protocol Tracker
- **Jupiter** announced a new Pokemon and One Piece gacha platform powered by Collector Crypt (CARDS +28%)
- **Pump.fun** reported $5.9 million in weekly protocol fees, burning over $3M of $PUMP as buybacks now offset nearly 15% of total supply, with volumes holding steady despite the Robinhood Chain frenzy drawing traders away
- **Robinhood Chain** surged into the top five chains by DEX volume, posting $3.1 billion in the past week, per Bernstein, which holds an outperform rating and a $130 target on HOOD
- **Binance US’s CEO** said they are restarting growth after a 2-year regulatory hiatus
## 🚚 What is happening in NFTs?
- **NFT leaders** were mixed; Punks even at 32.4 ETH, BAYC +1% at 8.94 ETH, Pudgy -1% at 4.33 ETH; Hypurr’s -4% at 179 HYPE
- **PXL NET (+60%) and Squiggles (+10%)** led top movers
- **New Robinhood NFT** sets jumped including RH Miners (+1350%) and 8skullz (+340%)]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>strategy</category>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>etfs</category>
<category>clarityact</category>
<category>marketsentiment</category>
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<item>
<title><![CDATA[Bitcoin Whale Awakens: $188M BTC Transfer After 7 Years of Dormancy Sparks Speculation]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitcoin-whale-awakens-188m-btc-transfer-after-7-years-of-dormancy-sparks-speculation</link>
<guid>bitcoin-whale-awakens-188m-btc-transfer-after-7-years-of-dormancy-sparks-speculation</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 07:01:14 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[A **bitcoin whale** that had been inactive for nearly **eight years** suddenly moved **2,931 BTC** (worth approximately **$188 million**) to a new address on Sunday, according to onchain data from Arkham Intelligence.
## The Transaction
The wallet, identified as "356my…BAsmK", transferred the funds to an unmarked address "bc1qn…8gp25" at around 3:41 p.m. ET. The recipient address has not moved the bitcoin since the transfer.
## Historical Context
The whale last moved bitcoin on **October 23, 2018**, when BTC was trading at roughly **$6,475**. This means the holdings have appreciated nearly **tenfold** in value. While the reason for the move remains unclear, such transfers often precede **token sales** as holders look to cash out profits.
During bitcoin's **all-time high levels** last year, multiple large holders broke out of decade-long slumbers to move their holdings. Notably, one entity moved over **$8.7 billion worth** of bitcoin after **14 years of inactivity** in July 2025.
## Current Market
Bitcoin is currently trading at **$63,376**, down **1%** in the past 24 hours as of 10:00 p.m. ET, according to The Block's bitcoin price page.
*Disclaimer: The Block is an independent media outlet. Foresight Ventures is a majority investor. This article is for informational purposes only.*]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>whale</category>
<category>onchain</category>
<category>btc</category>
<category>crypto</category>
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<title><![CDATA[Bitcoin Dips Below $63K as Asian Session Leverage Flush and Hawkish Fed Jolt Markets]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitcoin-dips-below-63k-as-asian-session-leverage-flush-and-hawkish-fed-jolt-markets</link>
<guid>bitcoin-dips-below-63k-as-asian-session-leverage-flush-and-hawkish-fed-jolt-markets</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 20:01:13 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[## Market Overview
Bitcoin slipped below **$63,000** during the Asian session, triggering a minor leverage flush. The sell-off was relatively modest, with liquidations running at about one-sixth of the worst levels seen over the past 30 days, according to CoinGlass.
## Key Drivers
### Fed's Hawkish Stance
Fed Governor **Chris Waller** signaled that a rate hike could be imminent if inflation data remains hot. "If we get another hot reading on core inflation this week, then the FOMC will need to consider tightening monetary policy in the near term," Waller said. The two-year Treasury yield surged to a new multi-year high of **4.27%**, while the 10-year yield jumped to **4.6%**.
### Geopolitical Tensions
Renewed U.S. airstrikes on Iranian targets and President Trump's reinstatement of the "Iranian Blockade" sent **oil prices** up 8.5% to a one-month high of **$77.50 per barrel**. This added to risk-off sentiment across markets.
### AI and Chip Stock Rout
Data center and AI-related stocks tumbled. **SK Hynix** crashed 15%, dragging South Korea's Kospi down 9% and triggering a trading halt. Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI, such as MARA Holdings, Riot Platforms, and CleanSpark, fell about 5%.
## Bitcoin ETF Inflows
Despite the sell-off, **Bitcoin ETFs recorded their first weekly inflows in nine weeks**, attracting roughly **$197 million**. This followed eight consecutive weeks of outflows totaling billions.
## BIP-110 Governance Debate
Charles Schwab views the **BIP-110** debate as a governance dispute that could create short-term volatility but is unlikely to threaten the network. The proposal would restrict non-financial data on Bitcoin, including Ordinals and Runes, but currently has less than 1% miner support.
## Corporate Moves
- **Strive (ASST)** added 18 BTC last week, bringing total holdings to 19,900 coins.
- **Bitmine Immersion (BMNR)** increased its ETH stake to 5.77 million tokens.
- **Strategy (MSTR)** raised $467 million in cash via stock sales, with no changes to its 843,775 BTC holdings.
## Outlook
All eyes are on the **June CPI report** due Tuesday, expected to show a decline in headline inflation. The Fed's July 28-29 meeting will be crucial for determining the direction of risk assets, including crypto and chip stocks.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>marketsentiment</category>
<category>fed</category>
<category>geopolitics</category>
<category>etfinflows</category>
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<title><![CDATA[Bitmine Hits $11.3B in Crypto and Cash Holdings, Owns 4.8% of All ETH]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitmine-hits-113b-in-crypto-and-cash-holdings-owns-48-of-all-eth</link>
<guid>bitmine-hits-113b-in-crypto-and-cash-holdings-owns-48-of-all-eth</guid>
<pubDate>Mon, 13 Jul 2026 14:01:29 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[**Bitmine Immersion Technologies (NYSE: BMNR)** has announced that its total crypto, cash, and marketable securities holdings have reached **$11.3 billion**, including **5.77 million ETH tokens** – representing **4.8% of the total ETH supply** of 120.7 million. The company is now **96% of the way** to its goal of acquiring 5% of all ETH, a milestone it expects to reach in 2026.
### Key Holdings
- **5,770,038 ETH** valued at $1,820 each (total ~$10.5B)
- **206 Bitcoin (BTC)**
- **$482 million** in cash and marketable securities
- **$180 million** stake in Beast Industries
- **$69 million** stake in Eightco Holdings (NASDAQ: ORBS), providing indirect exposure to OpenAI
### Staking Dominance
Bitmine has staked **4,917,189 ETH** (85% of its ETH holdings) via its **MAVAN (Made in America Validator Network)** platform, generating an annualized staking yield of **2.70%** (7-day average). Projected annual staking revenues are **$242 million**, with potential to reach **$284 million** when fully staked. This makes Bitmine the **largest ETH staker in the world**.
### Institutional Backing & Index Inclusion
- **Added to the Russell 1000 Large-cap Index** on June 26, 2026, expected to attract hundreds of new institutional investors.
- **Series A Preferred Stock (BMNP)** trading on NYSE, with weekly dividend payments.
- Supported by top investors including **Cathie Wood (ARK Invest)**, **Founders Fund**, **Bill Miller III**, **Pantera**, **Kraken**, **DCG**, **Galaxy Digital**, and **Tom Lee**.
### Robinhood Chain Catalyst
Tom Lee highlighted the **Robinhood Chain L2 mainnet** (built on Arbitrum) as a major driver for ETH adoption. With **27 million users** paying gas fees in ETH, he believes "everyday users are starting to see ETH as money."
### Regulatory Optimism
Management views the **GENIUS Act** and **SEC's Project Crypto** as transformative for financial services, comparable to the end of Bretton Woods in 1971.
> **Bitmine remains the #1 Ethereum treasury and #2 global crypto treasury** (behind Strategy Inc.'s Bitcoin holdings).]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitmine</category>
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<category>eth</category>
<category>staking</category>
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<title><![CDATA[SWIFT's Tokenized Payment Pilot Validates Ripple's Vision: XRP Price Outlook]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/swifts-tokenized-payment-pilot-validates-ripples-vision-xrp-price-outlook</link>
<guid>swifts-tokenized-payment-pilot-validates-ripples-vision-xrp-price-outlook</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2026 20:01:11 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[Traders and crypto analysts have adjusted **XRP's target price** after **Ripple's vision** was validated with the launch of a **SWIFT pilot** for tokenised cross-border payments.
## Market Context
XRP dipped slightly to **$1.10** amid a broadly negative market as capital rotates defensively out of altcoins and into Bitcoin. **Bitcoin dominance** rose to **58.43%** as the total crypto market cap dipped 0.29%. This signals that capital is rotating from riskier altcoins into Bitcoin, a typical defensive move in a "Fear" sentiment environment. Other major alts, like **Avalanche (AVAX)**, also fell by over 4%, confirming the broader pressure.
## SWIFT's Tokenized Payment Pilot
Sell-side pressure persisted amid news that **SWIFT tapped more than 30 banks** connected to Ripple's ecosystem to enhance cross-border payments. SWIFT has introduced its own **blockchain-based shared ledger** after nine months of development. The pilot project is moving into operational use with **17 major banks** set to pioneer tokenised cross-border payments. This pilot for **24/7 tokenised cross-border payments** is seen as a direct validation of the infrastructure model Ripple has championed for years.
While SWIFT's system coordinates tokenised deposits, **Ripple's On-Demand Liquidity** solution uses XRP as a bridge asset for instant settlement. This is **bullish for XRP** because it signals a broad shift in the financial industry toward the exact type of always-on, programmable settlement networks Ripple built. SWIFT's move reduces scepticism and could accelerate **institutional adoption** of blockchain-based rails, where Ripple is an established player.
SWIFT has also announced its next steps: a **platform for programmable money and agentic commerce**, with payments made automatically when conditions are met without manual authorisation.
## Ripple's Ecosystem Expansion
A few months ago, **Ripple Treasury joined SWIFT**, enabling direct global bank access and unified control of fiat and crypto. It also partnered with **Kyobo Life Insurance** for real-time tokenised government bond settlement. Now, more than 30 banks connected to the Ripple ecosystem are listed in SWIFT's payments framework. The list includes **HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Santander, Standard Chartered, and JPMorgan**.
This is not a migration from SWIFT to XRP. The truth is, **XRP may be a liquidity-providing platform** for SWIFT's growing digital transformation. Banks require instant liquidity to fulfil tokenised cross-border transactions. Ripple's network provides them with access to such liquidity in real time without pre-funding foreign accounts in each destination currency.
## Technical Analysis
Analysts said XRP's drop is less about its own fundamentals and more about a market-wide shift toward perceived safety and liquidity. A sustained rise in Bitcoin dominance above 59% would likely extend pressure on XRP and other alts. The move occurred on **below-average volume** (down 6.15%), suggesting a lack of strong conviction rather than a panic sell-off. Technically, **XRP's RSI at 39.5** is nearing oversold territory, indicating weak momentum but not extreme capitulation.
The immediate key level is **$1.09**, which aligns with the recent swing low and the current price. Holding here could lead to a consolidation range between $1.09 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $1.10. The primary risk is a breakdown if Bitcoin strengthens further, which could push XRP toward the next support zone around **$1.05–$1.07**. The trend is bearish in the short term, but oversold conditions could slow the descent. A decisive daily close below $1.09 would confirm further downside. XRP is caught in a defensive market rotation, with its fate tied to Bitcoin's strength and broader altcoin sentiment.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>xrp</category>
<category>ripple</category>
<category>swift</category>
<category>tokenizedpayments</category>
<category>marketsentiment</category>
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<title><![CDATA[Bitcoin Chain Splits: Why You Get a Free 1:1 Copy of Your BTC]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/bitcoin-chain-splits-why-you-get-a-free-1-1-copy-of-your-btc</link>
<guid>bitcoin-chain-splits-why-you-get-a-free-1-1-copy-of-your-btc</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2026 07:01:28 GMT</pubDate>
<description><
*A visual interpretation of a Bitcoin chain split when the two networks do not agree on the same ruleset.*
Nothing needs to be recreated or reissued. Both networks already have the same records, because they were the same chain until the split.
## Why 1:1 Isn’t a Gift, It’s Duplication
Picture a holder with 1 BTC in a single UTXO right before a split. That output exists in the shared history both chains inherit. The bitcoin chain recognizes it. The new forked chain recognizes it too, because it accepted the same blocks up to that point. The private key hasn’t been copied by some network process. It was already the only thing capable of spending that output, and now two separate sets of nodes independently agree on that fact.

*A visual interpretation of how BTC UTXOs can share the same history after a chain split.*
That’s why the ratio is always 1:1 at the snapshot. It isn’t an **airdrop** in the conventional sense, where a project mints new tokens and sends them to a list of addresses. Nobody compiles a list. No new transaction moves anything. The forked network simply calculates the same pre-split UTXO set that already existed, then starts applying its own rules to it going forward.
## One Rule Doesn’t Guarantee Two Equal Futures
The 1:1 relationship only describes the instant of the split. After that, the two chains stop staying in sync. A holder can spend their bitcoin on the original chain while leaving the forked coin untouched, or the reverse. New bitcoin mined after the chain split exists only on the Bitcoin chain. New coins mined on the forked chain exist only there. Supply, price, and transaction history diverge from the split.
Self-custody makes claiming both sides straightforward in principle, since whoever controls the key at the snapshot can typically sign transactions on either chain. Custodial holdings work differently. If bitcoin sits in an exchange wallet, the exchange controls the key at the snapshot, not the individual customer. Whether that customer receives the forked coin depends entirely on the platform’s policy, not on the protocol itself.
## Shared History Creates a Hidden Risk: Replay
Because both chains start with identical signing rules, a transaction built for one chain can sometimes be valid on the other too. Someone doesn’t need a private key to exploit this. They only need to copy an already signed transaction from one network and rebroadcast it on the second. If it goes through, a holder loses the ability to decide independently when and how to move their forked coin.
This is why serious forks in the past have built in **replay protection**, typically by embedding a chain-specific identifier into what gets signed. A transaction that includes that identifier validates on the intended chain and fails on the other, closing the loophole without requiring users to do anything extra. Forks without strong protection leave that decision to the holder, who may need to deliberately create a chain-exclusive transaction before it’s safe to move funds freely on either side.
## Mining Difficulty Is the New Chain’s Next Hurdle
A forked chain also inherits Bitcoin’s mining difficulty, which was calibrated for whatever **hashrate** the network had before the split. That number rarely matches what the new chain actually attracts. If far less hashpower follows the fork, blocks arrive slowly until the next scheduled adjustment catches up, leaving the new network with a temporary window where it produces blocks unevenly and remains easier to disrupt than the chain it came from.
## Hashpower Decides Which Chain a Node Actually Follows
One more detail keeps the two networks from bleeding into each other. Bitcoin nodes select the valid chain carrying the most accumulated **proof of work (PoW)**, but only among chains that follow their own consensus rules. A node enforcing Bitcoin’s original rules won’t accept a forked block just because forked miners produced more cumulative work behind it. Hashrate settles disputes between valid competing blocks on the same ruleset. It has no power to make a node accept a block that violates the rules that node already enforces. That’s part of why a hard fork results in two persistent chains instead of one chain simply winning outright.
None of this changes the basic mechanism at the center of both eCash and BIP-110. A chain split doesn’t create value out of nothing. It duplicates recognition of an existing ownership record across two ledgers that then go their own way, leaving replay protection and mining stability to determine how usable the new asset becomes.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>bitcoin</category>
<category>chainsplit</category>
<category>utxo</category>
<category>hardfork</category>
<category>replayprotection</category>
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<title><![CDATA[Next Crypto Bull Market: Why Cash Flow Will Be King and These Coins Could Lead]]></title>
<link>https://www.bitcointoday.app/article/next-crypto-bull-market-why-cash-flow-will-be-king-and-these-coins-could-lead</link>
<guid>next-crypto-bull-market-why-cash-flow-will-be-king-and-these-coins-could-lead</guid>
<pubDate>Sun, 12 Jul 2026 14:01:30 GMT</pubDate>
<description><![CDATA[The last crypto bull market, which ended in October 2025, rewarded narratives and stories more than actual economic activity. Meme coins and networks making big promises with little in the way of new or useful features caught buyers' attention. Now, as **Bitcoin** grinds its way through its worst stretch since 2022, there are early signs of a recovery in the market thanks to a handful of projects.
The emerging contenders for leaders in the next bull market are different because they're operating more like businesses than cryptocurrencies of the past. Here's which coins to watch and what to expect if the market continues to perk up.
## Cash Flow Could Become the Name of the Game
Traditionally, crypto majors other than Bitcoin, like **Ethereum**, **Solana**, and **XRP**, have a complicated relationship between their token's value and the extent to which their blockchains are actually used for economically productive activity. Those chains collect fees, but only a small portion reaches token holders directly; the rest flows to validators, stakers, or ecosystem funds. That's part of the reason holding Ethereum for the past five years left holders with losses of 8% despite enormous technical improvements, capital inflows, and network usage.
The coins that will win in the next crypto bull market will likely invert that dynamic, ensuring that holders get compensated for tying up their capital and attracting more investment as a result.
**Hyperliquid** is the most prominent example. Its Assistance Fund captures close to 99% of the trading fees on the chain's decentralized exchange into HYPE token purchases, which are burned and removed from circulation. It has bought back more than $2 billion worth of its token since launch, soaking up 4.7% of its maximum supply at about four to five times the burn rate of Ethereum.
**Lighter** is another decentralized exchange and one of Hyperliquid's competitors, running the same playbook with its supply. All trading fee revenue funnels into LIT token repurchases, and per the June 30 tokenomics update, those coins purchased through buybacks will be permanently burned; 6.3% of supply is already gone.
Another riff on this holder-friendly tokenomics concept is **Bittensor**. It operates as an ecosystem of different subnets offering artificial intelligence (AI) training and related services. Its recent upgrade gave every subnet its own unique token; leading subnets, like Chutes, recycle their platform revenue into buybacks of their subnet tokens, so that holders of the subnet's asset can capture value from demand for the subnet's computing services.
This puts pressure on majors like Ethereum and Solana. They may opt to give holders a stronger claim on the future of on-chain revenue if the new challengers are successful in attracting capital during the next cycle.
## New Challenges Will Occur Amid Some of the Same Old Trends
Perhaps the biggest risk during the next bull market will be **quantum computing**, which could theoretically be used to steal coins once a powerful enough quantum computer is developed. Bitcoin will need to convince investors that it's prepared to adapt to the risk of its encryption becoming compromised. A new proposal called BIP-360, accepted in February 2026, laid out the first potential quantum-resistance plan. If new security measures aren't agreed upon and put into place promptly, it will become a major headwind for the coin's price.
Thus, pretty much every major chain will need to spend more on cryptographic hardening to be investable in the coming cycle. That will be especially important as more capital is onboarded to tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), which will be the main draw pulling in institutions this time around.
Another new theme, **financial privacy**, will likely be a big one in the next bull market. Established privacy coins like **Zcash** and **Monero** have questionable track records, so they will likely need to fend off some competition from newcomers even if their prices rise.
Old themes will be in play even as new ones become more important. An unpredictable handful of meme coins will run again, as they always do. More serious segments that fell short of their 2021 valuations during the most recent bull market, notably decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN) and social finance, are largely hollowed out and probably won't recover.
But no matter what happens, there's a lot to be optimistic about for the next crypto bull market whenever it may occur.]]></description>
<author>contact@bitcointoday.app (BitcoinToday.app)</author>
<category>cryptobullmarket</category>
<category>tokenomics</category>
<category>hyperliquid</category>
<category>bittensor</category>
<category>quantumcomputing</category>
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