Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout or Bearish Bust?
This analysis focuses on the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 4-hour chart, identifying key levels and potential trading strategies for both bulls and bears.
Bulls' Strategy:
- Breakout from yellow bull flag: A successful breakout above the yellow bull flag could target $59,850 initially, with potential to reach $62,000.
- Anchored VWAP: A breakout above Point 1 could lead to the next resistance at $62,000, coinciding with the anchored VWAP from January 22, 2024.
Bears' Strategy:
- First lower standard deviation test: Bears may aim for a test around $53,750, coinciding with the first lower standard deviation of the anchored VWAP.
- Psychological $50k level: Significant liquidity below $50,000 could trigger further selling pressure if stops are hit.
- Bottom band reversal: The bottom band of the yellow channel around $48,850 represents a potential reversal point, as it coincides with previous long positions being stopped out.
Recommendations for Traders:
- Shorting opportunity: Consider shorting at Point 2 if the price reaches around $62,000.
- Long position: Seek buying opportunities below the $50,000 mark, especially around $48,500.
Important note:
Trade at your own risk! Always manage your risk and consider market conditions before entering any trades.
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