Bitcoin's Critical $70K Breakdown: Is This the Start of a Major Correction?
Coindesk4 hours ago
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Bitcoin's Critical $70K Breakdown: Is This the Start of a Major Correction?

Technical Analysis
bitcoin
technicalanalysis
marketcorrection
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Summary:

  • Bitcoin has broken below the critical $70,000 support level, increasing the risk of further downside toward $65,000 or even $60,000

  • Major cryptocurrencies including BTC, ETH, and BNB are down up to 3% over seven days, while some smaller tokens have gained up to 20%

  • On-chain analysis suggests the market has entered a stress phase but hasn't seen the heavy loss realization that typically marks a cycle bottom

  • Institutional flows are shifting with Harvard's endowment cutting over 20% of its bitcoin ETF exposure in Q4

  • The $68,000–$70,000 range that previously served as support has now become resistance, creating a critical technical battle for Bitcoin

Bitcoin's Technical Breakdown Sparks Market Concerns

Bitcoin has fallen back below the crucial $70,000 level, with its brief attempt to reclaim this threshold on Monday being met with strong selling pressure that pushed prices toward $67,000. As of early Wednesday trading, BTC was hovering near $68,000, now sitting below what had previously served as short-term support.

Why This Technical Shift Matters

The $68,000–$70,000 range had functioned as a solid floor throughout the first half of February. Losing this critical support zone significantly increases the risk that future rallies will be sold rather than bought. A clean break below $67,000 would put $65,000 and potentially even $60,000 back in focus for traders.

Broader Market Weakness Emerges

Major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB have all declined by as much as 3% over the past seven days. Meanwhile, some smaller tokens like Zcash's ZEC and Cosmos' ATOM have posted gains of up to 20% during the same period. Historically, when major cryptocurrencies lag, the rest of the market struggles to sustain upward momentum.

Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, warned in an email: "The decline of the largest coins is an ominous sign for smaller ones, as it may soon pull them down with it at an accelerated pace."

On-Chain Analysis Points to Continued Stress

On-chain analysts at CryptoQuant indicate that the market has entered a stress phase but hasn't yet seen the kind of heavy loss realization that typically marks a definitive cycle bottom. This suggests the current unwind may not be finished.

Additional Market Concerns

Quantum computing fears have resurfaced in market conversations, with some investors questioning long-term cryptographic risks while developers push back on timelines that place meaningful threats decades away.

Meanwhile, Blockstream CEO Adam Back criticized a proposed BIP-110 update aimed at reducing spam on the Bitcoin network, arguing it could create new reputational risks by changing rules around transaction allowances.

Institutional Flows Show Shifts

Harvard's endowment cut more than 20% of its bitcoin ETF exposure in the fourth quarter, though it remains the fund's largest public crypto position.

The Technical Battle Ahead

For Bitcoin, the technical battle remains front and center. Reclaiming $70,000 would reset momentum, while failing again would likely lead the market to price in a deeper retracement.

Outside the crypto sphere, Asian equities advanced in thin Lunar New Year trading, with the MSCI Asia Pacific Index rising 0.6% led by gains in Japan, while US futures edged higher after recent AI-related turbulence cooled.

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