Bitcoin's Fate Hangs in the Balance as Fed Decision Looms Amidst US-China Trade Talks
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Bitcoin's Fate Hangs in the Balance as Fed Decision Looms Amidst US-China Trade Talks

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Summary:

  • Bitcoin price dips slightly to $118,000 as traders await Fed clarity

  • US-China trade talks end without agreement on tariff extension

  • Fed meeting anticipation grows with a 65% chance of a September rate cut

  • Lower interest rates could benefit risk assets like Bitcoin

  • Economists caution tariffs may hinder Fed's inflation fight

Bitcoin and the broader crypto market remained stagnant on Tuesday, despite ongoing diplomatic discussions between the U.S. and China in Stockholm. The talks, aimed at extending a 90-day tariff pause, concluded without a definitive agreement, leaving markets in anticipation.

Key Developments:

  • Beijing and Washington discussed prolonging the tariff pause but reached no consensus.
  • Bitcoin's price experienced a slight decline, trading around $118,000, down from a previous high of $119,258.
  • Focus shifts to the upcoming Fed meeting, with a 65% market expectation of a September rate cut.

The U.S.-China trade outlook remains uncertain, with no concrete resolution in sight. This uncertainty has kept the crypto market on edge, as traders await clearer macroeconomic signals.

The Fed's Role:

The Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision is now the center of attention. Lower interest rates could create a more favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin, as they make borrowing cheaper and incentivize investment in higher-return options.

Economists warn that sweeping tariffs could complicate the Fed's efforts to combat inflation, which has been a persistent issue in the U.S. and globally.

Market Sentiment:

The crypto market's reaction to these developments has been muted, but a pivotal week lies ahead. As Daniel Liu, CEO of Republic Technologies, noted, "A string of favorable macro headlines could catalyze a sharp move" for crypto.

Traders are particularly keen on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's tone during the upcoming FOMC meeting. Any indication of economic weakness could strengthen the case for rate cuts, potentially boosting crypto markets.

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