The crypto market is overlooking the potential of spot **Ethereum (ETH)** exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US, according to Steno Research. They predict **$15-20 billion** in net inflows into these ETFs within the first year, driving **ETH** prices up to **$6,500** by year's end. **This bullish forecast** is based on the idea that **ETH's qualities appeal to Wall Street** and its relatively smaller market capitalization means inflows will have a **greater impact on price**. Other analysts are less bullish, with Galaxy Research expecting **$5 billion** in inflows over five months and Bitwise predicting **$15 billion** over 18 months. These **spot ETH ETFs** are expected to begin trading in the US shortly, potentially as early as next week, following SEC approval.  The report also highlights the strengthening **ETH/BTC** ratio, which is expected to reach **0.065** later this year.

The crypto market is being overly pessimistic about the imminent launch of spot ether ETFs in the U.S. and net inflows could hit $20 billion in the first year, Steno Research said.

FinanceEther to Hit $6.5K Later This Year Driven by Inflows Into Spot ETFs: AnalystThe crypto market is being overly pessimistic about the imminent launch of spot ether ETFs in the U.S. and net inflows could hit $20 billion in the first year, Steno Research said.By Will CannyJun 28, 2024 at 7:03 a.m. UTCUpdated Jun 28, 2024 at 7:05 a.m. UTCShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on XEther to hit $6,500 later this year driven by inflows into spot ETFs: analyst (Rob Mitchell)Share on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on XSteno Research predicts net inflows of $15-20 billion into ether spot ETFs in the first 12 months.Ether is expected to hit $6,500 later this year due to strong ETF inflows and other positive factors, the report said.Galaxy Research estimates $5 billion of net inflows to spot ether ETFs in the first five months, Bitwise expects $15 billion of inflows in the initial 18 months.UnmuteEther Sees Strongest Bull Momentum in 3 Years12:10Former SEC Senior Trial Counsel on Spot Ether ETF Approval Outlook12:10Former SEC Senior Trial Counsel on Spot Ether ETF Approval Outlook00:53Staking Has Been a Major Liquidity Sink for ETH: Coinbase Institutional12:23Crypto Update | Is Coinbase's Influence in the Bitcoin ETF Market Cause for Concern?The crypto market is being overly pessimistic about the imminent launch of spot ether (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. and net inflows could hit $20 billion in the first year as the cryptocurrency has qualities that appeal to Wall Street, Steno Research said in a report on Thursday.“We continue to forecast a net inflow between $15 billion and $20 billion in the first 12 months, even considering the outflow from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE),” senior analyst Mads Eberhardt wrote, adding that this should drive the value of ether higher, in dollar terms and also relative to bitcoin (BTC).Ether is predicted to reach at least $6,500 later this year due to these expected inflows to spot ETFs, plus additional tailwinds, the report said.Spot ether ETFs are on the cusp of becoming available for trading in the U.S. after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) greenlighted filings from issuers last month. Once the S-1 filings are approved the new products will start trading, and this could happen as soon as next week according to reports.If the estimated spot ether ETF inflows are correct, the ether/bitcoin ratio should strengthen to 0.065 later this year, Steno said.“A smaller inflow into ether ETFs compared to bitcoin ETFs will have a greater impact on ether due to its lower market capitalization and substantially poorer liquidity,” and as a result of this inflows into ETH spot ETFS are more likely to surprise to the upside than the downside, the report added.Steno is more bullish on the outlook for spot ether ETFs flows than others. Galaxy (GLXY) Research said spot ether ETFs could see $5 billion of net inflows in the first five months. Asset Manager Bitwise predicted $15 billion of net inflows in the first 18 months.Read more: Ether Spot ETFs Could See $5B of Net Inflows in the First Five Months: GalaxyEdited by Parikshit Mishra.DisclosurePlease note that our privacy policy, terms of use, cookies, and do not sell my personal information has been updated.CoinDesk is an award-winning media outlet that covers the cryptocurrency industry. Its journalists abide by a strict set of editorial policies. In November 2023, CoinDesk was acquired by the Bullish group, owner of Bullish, a regulated, digital assets exchange. The Bullish group is majority-owned by Block.one; both companies have interests in a variety of blockchain and digital asset businesses and significant holdings of digital assets, including bitcoin. CoinDesk operates as an independent subsidiary with an editorial committee to protect journalistic independence. CoinDesk employees, including journalists, may receive options in the Bullish group as part of their compensation.Will CannyWill Canny is CoinDesk's finance reporter.Read more aboutEtherETFs

Ether to Hit $6.5K Later This Year Driven by Inflows Into Spot ETFs: Analyst

Ethereum (ETH) Price to Surge to $6,500 on Spot ETF Inflows: Analyst

# Dan Morehead's Bold Bitcoin Predictions and Crypto Insights

Dan Morehead, the founder and managing director of **Pantera Capital**, has a history of accurate crypto forecasts. Back in 2013, he urged investors to buy bitcoin when it was trading at just $65, and he personally invested heavily, calling it a pivotal moment. Fast forward to 2025, bitcoin is hovering around $115,000, and Pantera has grown into a crypto giant managing $4.7 billion in assets.

## Why Bitcoin Could Double Soon

Morehead is doubling down on his bullish stance, predicting that **bitcoin will double in value within a year**, potentially reaching above $230,000, and eventually hitting $1 million. He bases this on bitcoin's historical four-year cycle, which includes phases like breakout, hype, correction, and accumulation, tied to halving events that reduce mining rewards and increase scarcity. In November 2022, he accurately forecasted bitcoin would hit $117,482 by August 2025, and it did, even surging to a record $124,495.51.

However, this cycle might differ due to **favorable policies under President Trump**, such as the Genius Act for stablecoin regulation and a pro-crypto agenda. Morehead notes that while bitcoin benefits, **altcoins could outperform in the next three years** as regulatory clarity improves, especially after previous uncertainties under SEC Chairman Gary Gensler.

## The Shift in Market Dynamics

As bitcoin matures, large holders or 'whales' have less influence on price movements. Pantera, which once held 2% of bitcoin's supply, has been selling to invest in new ventures, now holding about $1 billion in bitcoin. Morehead emphasizes that the focus should shift to altcoins and emerging opportunities.

## Tokenization: The Future of Assets

Morehead, with a background in asset-backed securities, believes that **all valuable assets will eventually be tokenized on blockchains**. This process could start with easier assets like mortgages and U.S. Treasuries, while real estate and stocks face regulatory hurdles. He expects regulatory progress, citing SEC Chairman Paul Atkins' new crypto agenda to modernize markets, and predicts that within a few years, many stocks will trade on blockchains, making investing accessible via smartphones.

## Crypto Treasury Strategies in Public Companies

Pantera backs companies adopting crypto-focused treasury strategies, where firms raise money to buy crypto for their balance sheets. While over 100 companies have joined this trend, premiums over net asset value are narrowing. Morehead anticipates consolidation, with only a few survivors per major crypto like bitcoin or ether, and advises investors to focus on management teams that can acquire coins at the best prices.

Dan Morehead, founder and managing director at Pantera Capital, said he expects bitcoin to double within a year and outlined his broader forecasts for the future of crypto.

Crypto Visionary Who Predicted $120K Bitcoin Now Forecasts a Stunning Double to $230K in Just One Year

# My Bitcoin Awakening: From Curiosity to Conviction

It's been one year since I took the plunge and bought my first Bitcoin. On September 9, 2024, I invested $100 with a simple mindset: *we'll see what happens*. Fast forward to today, and that initial investment has more than doubled, with Bitcoin hitting an all-time high of $125,200 and currently trading around $113,840. But the real story isn't just the gains—it's what I discovered about our financial system along the way.

## The Realization: Bitcoin as a Symptom of a Broken System

I started out curious, but as I delved deeper, I began questioning the very foundation of our economy. **Bitcoin is not just hype**; it's the highest-grossing asset in modern history, outperforming gold, stocks, real estate, and more since its inception in 2009. Its explosive growth is no accident—it's a response to a flawed system.

To understand Bitcoin's value, you must first grasp what's wrong with the U.S. dollar. Until August 15, 1971, the dollar was backed by gold, providing stability. Then, President Nixon severed that link, unleashing unchecked money printing. Since then, inflation has eroded the dollar's purchasing power by over 85%. What cost $1 in 1971 now costs nearly $8, and this slow bleed affects everyone's savings and daily life.

## The Power of Bitcoin: A Fixed Supply and Decentralization

Unlike the dollar, **Bitcoin has a fixed supply of only 21 million coins**, making it immune to government manipulation or devaluation. It's decentralized, run by code rather than politicians, and verified by a global network. This makes it a powerful tool for storing value, moving money across borders, and protecting privacy.

Yes, Bitcoin is volatile and seems expensive, but that's part of its growth phase. You don't need to buy a whole coin—start small, as I did. It's the best way to opt out of a system that makes life more expensive and uncertain.

## My Deep Dive into Bitcoin Education

I spent weekends binge-watching YouTube videos, reading the Bitcoin White Paper, and devouring books like Lyn Alden's "Broken Money" and Sebastian Bunney's "The Hidden Cost of Money." These weren't just reads; they were revelations that highlighted America's broken financial machinery.

I'm not telling you to buy Bitcoin, but I urge you to study it. Understand how it counters inflation and offers a alternative to the status quo.

*Image: A graph showing Bitcoin's price surge over the past year, highlighting its resilience and growth.*

Money Talks columnist Darnell Mayberry reflects on a year of owning Bitcoin, arguing that its soaring value is less important than the revelation that America’s broken, inflation-prone financial system makes Bitcoin a powerful alternative to the dollar.

Why Bitcoin is the Ultimate Asset: My Year-Long Journey Reveals Shocking Truths About Money

## Legal Win for Bitcoin Miner Hut 8

A New York federal judge has dismissed the majority of claims in a lawsuit against **Bitcoin miner Hut 8 Corp.**, which alleged that the company overpaid for a merger with a firm facing severe operational issues and misled investors about energy and connectivity failures at a Texas facility involved in the deal. The judge ruled that many of the statements challenged in the suit are **inactionable**, providing a significant relief for Hut 8 amid legal scrutiny.

This development underscores the complexities of corporate governance and disclosure in the rapidly evolving **cryptocurrency mining industry**, where regulatory and legal challenges are increasingly common.

A New York federal judge on Friday dismissed a majority of the claims in a suit alleging that bitcoin miner Hut 8 Corp. overpaid for a company with severe operational issues and misled investors about energy and connectivity failures at a Texas facility that was part of the merger, finding that many of the challenged statements in the suit are inactionable.

Hut 8 Bitcoin Miner Scores Legal Victory as Judge Dismisses Key Merger Lawsuit Claims

Before NFTs, play-to-earn, or on-chain esports became buzzwords, **Bitcoin casinos** were already stress-testing what 'digital play' could look like on a public ledger. They weren't just adding new payment methods to old games; they reimagined the entire experience, focusing on trust, speed, and community building. This early experimentation offers valuable insights for any gaming company, even those not involved in crypto.

## The First Movers Who Proved a Point
In the early 2010s, blockchain entertainment started with simple dice games. Rules were intuitive, math was transparent, and outcomes were quick. Faucets—tiny free coin drops—helped newcomers get started, creating a low-stakes on-ramp where curiosity outweighed fear. This simplicity proved that a public chain could host real money games that were auditable, global, and always on.

## Transparency as a Product Feature, Not a Footnote
Early crypto dice games made 'provably fair' the headline, not fine print. Every bet and outcome could be verified on a public ledger, inviting players to check rather than just trust. This ethos has influenced mainstream gaming with visible drop rates, certified RNGs, and public patch notes. Modern Bitcoin casinos continue this trend with clear mechanics and easy-to-follow audit trails.

## Speed, Micro-Transactions, and a Global Table
Cryptocurrencies enabled fast deposits and withdrawals, unrestricted by bank hours or borders. Players could place many small bets quickly, experiment with strategies, and enjoy long sessions at tiny stakes. This frictionless experience mirrors free-to-play game design, where faster loops and lower restart costs boost experimentation and retention.

## Community Is the Real Retention Mechanic
Early crypto dice sites featured chat windows, faucet tips, challenges, and leaderboards, fostering a culture of sharing and teaching. This sense of community, built around rituals and social interactions, is key to player retention. Similar principles apply to beer culture, where shared practices strengthen belonging.

## How Simple Games Sparked Steady Innovation
Despite their simplicity, dice games became a sandbox for innovation. Features like auto-bet scripting, streak bonuses, and loyalty systems evolved, emphasizing clarity and strong gameplay loops. These ideas are now seen in modern gaming with transparent loot tables and social proof mechanisms.

## A Few Takeaways the Wider Industry Can Adopt
- **Make fairness visible**: Show the math or audit in-client to reduce trust gaps.
- **Tighten the loop**: Minimize delays between intent and outcome to boost engagement.
- **Reduce friction for small actions**: Enable low-cost experimentation to encourage trying again.
- **Seed community habits**: Provide ways for players to talk, teach, and celebrate together.
- **Respect exit and budgets**: Make stopping or cashing out as smooth as playing to build trust.

## What Comes Next
As blockchains scale, the performance gap between experimental casinos and mainstream games shrinks. Faster confirmations and better wallets make the 'click, result, verify' cadence natural. The lasting legacy is cultural: players deserve transparency, immediacy, and open knowledge sharing. This mindset benefits all gaming genres, from battle royales to arcade titles, and parallels the experimental spirit in industries like brewing, where innovation thrives through community engagement.

Before NFTs, play-to-earn, or on-chain esports were buzzwords, Bitcoin casinos were already testing what “digital play” could look like.

How Bitcoin Casinos Pioneered Digital Gaming: Key Lessons for the Entire Industry

## The Rise of CARF in Cryptocurrency Regulation

CARF emerged as a way to close the transparency gap that allowed cryptocurrency transactions to occur outside traditional banking oversight systems, essentially creating a crypto version of existing financial reporting standards.

### Key Insights
- **CARF is a global initiative designed to bring tax transparency to cryptocurrency** — CARF aims to prevent tax evasion by requiring crypto service providers to report customer and transaction data to tax authorities, who then share this information internationally.
- **CARF’s adoption is rapidly progressing** — With widespread international buy-in, platforms are now compelled to expand their KYC standards, necessitating significant overhauls in data collection, user on-boarding, and detailed transaction categorization.
- **CARF is pushing cryptocurrency towards a more transparent, regulated, and institution-friendly future** — While CARF promises to reduce fraud and harmonize rules, it could also create a split market between the regulated and the hidden, sparking ongoing debates about privacy and enforcement.

---

As cryptocurrencies exploded in popularity over the past few years, tax authorities around the world faced a growing problem. While they had successfully created systems to track traditional banking transactions through the [Common Reporting Standard (CRS)](https://web-archive.oecd.org/2022-10-10/642425-crypto-asset-reporting-framework-and-amendments-to-the-common-reporting-standard.pdf), crypto transactions were happening completely outside this framework. People could buy, sell, and trade digital assets through exchanges and wallet providers without their home countries’ tax authorities knowing anything about it.

Recognizing this threat to global tax transparency, the G20 asked the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) to develop a solution. The result was the **Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF)** — essentially a crypto version of the existing banking transparency rules.

CARF works by requiring cryptocurrency service providers, such as exchanges and wallet providers, to collect information about their customers and report their transactions to local tax authorities. These authorities then share this information with the customers’ home countries, just like they do with traditional bank account data.

The goal is simple: Prevent the crypto market from becoming a way for people to hide taxable income and transactions from their governments, preserving the progress made in global tax transparency over the past several years.

## The Current Status of Crypto-Regulation

By 2025, a monumental shift had occurred in the landscape of [global cryptocurrency regulation](https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/networks/global-forum-tax-transparency/commitments-carf.pdf). More than 60 nations — encompassing all G7 members and most G20 economies — formally embraced CARF, marking a palpable acceleration toward a standardized international approach. Already, 52 of these jurisdictions were diligently preparing to exchange their initial batches of data by 2027, with an additional 15 poised to follow suit in 2028.

While widespread adoption was evident, a handful of prominent crypto markets had yet to officially join the CARF agreement. Nevertheless, a clear wave of international pressure was mounting, aimed at bringing these remaining nations into compliance and thereby preventing them from inadvertently fostering illicit financial activities.

Indeed, cornerstone of CARF across these diverse jurisdictions was its commitment to consistency. Core definitions and reporting requirements were meticulously crafted to be uniform, fostering a level playing field and simplifying implementation. Any variations observed between countries primarily pertained to practicalities, such as their specific implementation timelines, the penalties associated with non-compliance, and whether domestic, non-cross-border crypto transactions would also fall under reporting mandates.

The advent of CARF fundamentally reshaped the operational paradigms for crypto platforms. The established **Know Your Customer (KYC)** principle for financial services regulation, traditionally focused on anti-money laundering, now expanded to encompass a new imperative: *Know Your Customer’s Tax Status*, with platforms mandated to report accordingly.

This profound shift necessitated a significant overhaul for many crypto businesses, as they now faced the challenge of upgrading their systems for user on-boarding and data management. This included the crucial task of collecting self-certifications of tax residency from their users and implementing novel procedures to identify the controlling individuals of any entity customers. Moreover, platforms were now required to meticulously gather detailed transaction data, carefully categorizing each entry by type, differentiating between fiat-to-crypto, crypto-to-crypto, and various forms of transfers.

## What the Future Holds

By 2030, CARF could mark crypto’s shift into a transparent, accountable asset class. Best case, it mainstreams crypto, reduces fraud and tax evasion, and harmonizes rules across countries while allowing for further innovation. Worst case, strict enforcement drives activity underground and deepens rifts with regulators. Most likely, we land in the middle: More transparency and fewer havens that ignore CARF or similar rules.

Indeed, CARF is a major test of global crypto-governance. Its success depends on international cooperation, competent enforcement, and the industry’s ability to adapt to new transparency standards. The era of easily hiding wealth in crypto is ending, and a more accountable — and possibly more trusted — system is emerging.

CARF likely will make crypto look more like traditional finance. Clearer tax rules and reporting could draw in large institutions and more everyday users. Compliant exchanges may operate more easily across borders under a single standard, and markets in CARF countries may become more professional, with fewer anonymous users and more strong oversight.

Yet, some worry that this could cause the market to split, leaving, on one hand, a regulated, transparent side and on the other, a hidden side using privacy tools and decentralized systems. Governments will try to shrink the latter by expanding CARF and improving analytics, possibly using AI to match blockchain activity with reported data. This, of course, will spark debates about accuracy and privacy.

Rules will keep evolving, especially for decentralized finance and self-custody. We may get clearer guidance on when decentralized platforms must report; and if more activity moves peer-to-peer, some countries could require individuals to declare holdings and income directly. CARF data might also be used — carefully and with safeguards — for financial crime enforcement, which would naturally raise civil liberties concerns.

For most users, crypto may become just another taxable asset. You buy, sell, earn staking rewards, and receive tax forms or pre-filled reports. New services will emerge, such as crypto tax tools, compliance-linked insurance, and cross-border tax optimization. Privacy tech will advance too, including ways to prove compliance without revealing everything.

Today, governments expect higher tax revenue and better compliance — and strong results with CARF will attract more countries. Eventually, tax authorities will use CARF data to verify returns, send notices, and audit mismatches. For compliant users, this should be routine; and for non-compliant users, risks and costs will rise.

---

*For more on the [risks that corporate compliance professionals face](https://www.thomsonreuters.com/en-us/posts/topic/compliance-risk/) in today’s turbulent environment*

CARF is a way to close the transparency gap that allowed cryptocurrency transactions to occur outside traditional banking oversight systems.

Is CARF the End of Crypto Anonymity? How New Global Tax Rules Are Reshaping the Industry

# The Deep Connection Between Bitcoin and Gold

J.P. Morgan analysts have shed light on the **intriguing and self-reinforcing links** between the cryptocurrency market and the traditional safe-haven asset, gold. This analysis explores how these two seemingly disparate worlds are increasingly influencing each other in the global financial landscape.

## Key Insights from J.P. Morgan

The report highlights that both **Bitcoin** and **gold** are experiencing significant interest from investors, driven by factors such as inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and a search for alternative stores of value. The analysts note that the rise of cryptocurrencies is not occurring in isolation but is part of a broader shift in investment strategies.

## Implications for Investors

Understanding these connections can provide valuable insights for portfolio diversification. The interplay between digital assets and precious metals suggests a **growing convergence** in how investors perceive and utilize these assets for hedging and growth.

J.P. Morgan analysts offer some thoughts on the deep and seemingly self-reinforcing connections between crypto and the yellow metal.

Ethereum (ETH) Price to Surge to $6,500 on Spot ETF Inflows: Analyst

Summary:

Steno Research predicts $15-20 billion in net inflows into spot Ethereum (ETH) ETFs in the first year.

ETH is predicted to reach at least $6,500 later this year driven by these expected inflows.

Spot ETH ETFs are expected to start trading in the US shortly, potentially as early as next week.

The ETH/BTC ratio is expected to strengthen to 0.065 later this year.

Steno is more bullish than other analysts, with Galaxy Research predicting $5 billion in inflows over five months and Bitwise predicting $15 billion over 18 months.

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